% 28% chance US recession declared before year-end? Macro • resolves December 31 Yes 28¢ No 74¢ $6.7M vol.
🇺🇸 2028 Republican nominee for president in 2028 J.D. Vance37% Marco Rubio25% Glenn Youngkin9% $14.2M vol.
⚖ Breaking Supreme Court overturns Chevron-style deference by year-end? Yes19% No81% Yes No $1.1M vol.